FDC President Makes Shocking Declaration To Security Operatives, Paranoid colonel, Why Besigye has opened war on all his allies. During the April 17, 2007 Mabira demonstration, Col. Besigye made an interesting remark to security operatives.
You still remember how a day after the arrest of MPs Hussein Kyanjo and Anywar for organizing a save-Mabira forest demo in which an Indian was killed, Besigye called a meeting of opposition parties at Cardinal Wamala Hall at Christ the King Church in the heart of Kampala. Security was under instructions to bar Besigye and those of his ilk from entering the hall and the famous Kiboko squad was out for the first time to enforce that order.
Besigye arrived at the venue shortly after 11am in the company of DP President Sebaana Kizito, MP Erias Lukwago and JEEMA’s Kibirige Mayanja.
They found the venue sealed off by security operatives, most of them in plain clothes. The trio wanted to force its way through the barricade. In the scuffle that ensued, Besigye was badly manhandled and as he shoved the operatives he boldly told them: “Me I died long ago but I just want to leave a name. Even if you kill me I’ll die a martyr,” Besigye told them.
Then he pushed hard, overpowered the bewildered operatives and gained entry but after breaking his toe.
This remark shocked the security operatives who included it in their reports to their bosses. Contents of these reports have since been made available to the wider intelligence community.
Whether Besigye meant physical or political death, or both, depends on how you look at it. But over the past few months the FDC leader has developed an unprecedented level of paranoia. Besigye does not trust anyone anymore. His wars with Museveni were understood as inevitable family-political wrangles but how do you explain the following about-turn in Besigye’s behaviour?
A few days ago while appearing on KFM, Besigye accused all media houses including-and this is strange- The Monitor and KFM of being under the control of the state. He said all newspapers New Vision, Red Pepper and Monitor were no longer objective and were under the firm control of government. His interviewers could not believe their ears when he mentioned The Monitor because the paper has been his traditional ally - or mouth piece- and has not changed its stance.
Outside the studio, Besigye had intensified his negative campaign against the mighty Red Pepper telling his supporters at a rally in Mbarara to use it for the toilet. But interestingly our sales have gone up in that part of the world.
A few days ago, when FDC foreign minister Reagan Okumu came out to say he would vie for FDC leadership in 2011, Besigye retorted: “Who knows Okumu?”
At the weekend the FDC leader opened another war front on an erstwhile ally-the DP. Speaking at a campaign rally in Kalungu East on Saturday, Besigye said DP was in cahoots with the NRM to sell off city markets to further impoverish Kampalans. In a hard hitting, unprecedented speech Besigye accused the DP of betraying the opposition.
“Some of our colleagues have changed and are now busy selling plots and markets of poor people because of greed,” he told supporters on Friday at Bugomola trading centre.
After winning posts in the Kampala city leadership, Besigye observed, DP members with whom FDC had been working to fight the NRM, changed sides.
DP constitutes the majority in the Kampala District Council: of the 31 seats the party has 16.
The FDC leader said it was surprising for the Democratic Party to promise to fight for people’s land when they had oppressed many in Kampala and sold off plots that belonged to KCC.
“Instead of fighting for people, they are busy selling off their markets,” he noted. But as Besigye flashed the V sign, the audience flashed the clenched fist, the symbol of the DP.
And therein lies the problem. Why is Besigye developing a phobia? Here below we give you the answer.
The ugly fight for Buganda
Naturally and since time immemorial, rump DP has always maintained a huge influence in Buganda and the Catholic Church. DP under Sebaana has realized that by continuing to lend their Buganda-Catholic support to Besigye they are killing the party. So DP has resolved to regain its dominance of Buganda and will field candidates to take seats everywhere in the region even if this puts DP on a collision course with Besigye.
Besigye had wanted DP to leave the Kalungu East seat to FDC. His argument is that FDC has more support nationwide than DP (40 parliamentary seats as opposed to DP’s eight) and thus wanted the DP candidate Fred Mukasa Mbidde to stand down for FDC candidate, Joseph Kayemba, to increase the FDC’s strength in Parliament. DP flatly refused.
This has strongly infuriated Besigye because in withdrawing its support from FDC candidates, Besigye knows the FDC can’t win a seat in Buganda on its own. Thus your Nabilah Sempala, (Kampala women) and Beti Kamya (Lubaga north) risk losing their seats in 2011 if DP does not back them as it is now indicating.
Besigye has been trying to wrestle Mengo’s support from DP because of the special relationship between the Kabaka, Edith Byanyima and Winnie Byanyima. But this too is a long shot. Besigye stands to lose much if DP reasserts itself in Buganda as it is doing now and this is driving the FDC leader mad.
The Muntu factor
Besigye and Muntu sealed an alliance in June 2005 when Muntu stayed at Besigye’s South Africa residence for two days. Although Muntu has his ambitions, he is not willing to try a shot at the presidency when he is not ready. His recent contact with Museveni has demoralized Besigye who fears the man might soon rejoin the NRM. Such a move would not be unprecedented. Levi Mwanawasa the current president of Zambia had originally fallen out with Chiluba. The two made up and Mwanawasa succeeded Chiluba.
Arap Moi was in KADU while Jomo Kenyatta was in KANU. But the two later formed an alliance that saw Moi become Kenyatta’s VP and successor.
Basil Bataringaya, formerly leader of the DP before he crossed with the entire opposition side to the UPC, was by the time of the 1971 coup almost certain to succeed Obote. He had become so powerful that he was the one Obote left with instructions to arrest Idi Amin, a move that led to the coup.
Jamil Mukulu the leader of the Islamic fundamentalist rebel group, the ADF, was a staunch Catholic. He converted to Islam and is now one of its leading jihadists.
The possibility of Besigye waking up and finding Muntu in the NRM has greatly demoralized Besigye further making the future of his party bleaker.
Waning overall support
Besigye’s appeal across the country has been on an alarming decline. He used to enjoy his biggest support in the north. But many FDC politicians there are giving up on him the reason Okumu is coming up to challenge him for the top slot. Many in the north are distraught that they vote him overwhelmingly yet he can’t even win in is home district of Rukungiri. They see their votes as wasted on a man long rejected by his clansmen. Some FDC leaders in the north accuse Besigye of being as rude as Kony. In West Nile the Alex Onzimas are going slowly on FDC and the Maos are closer to NRM than FDC.
Besigye had hoped to re-energize his leadership by winning the LCV chairmanship of Kamuli early this year. In fielding his vice president, the populist Salamu Musumba, Besigye was sure the FDC would win the chair. But she lost. If an FDC vice chairman cannot win a village chair how can the party win nationally? These thoughts have left Besigye devastated - feeling rejected by everyone thus the growing paranoia.
The colonel has been trying to ally with Amanya Mushega but the former East Africa secretary general seems bent on forming his own party, something similar to the UPM of the 1980s. Although Mushega attended the FDC delegates’ conference at Namboole and later met FDC strategist Sam Akaki at Najjanankumbi who advised him to seek a parliamentary seat, Mushega never went into the 2006 parliamentary polls because Odo Tayebwa refused to cede the FDC ticket to him in Igara East.
Some of Besigye’s henchmen are not doing well physically. Sulaiman Kiggundu the national party chairman has cancer of the intestines. He had been influential in selling Besigye to Mengo and the Muslim community but now he can no longer work at turbo range form.
Musinguzi Garuga, Besigye’s money man, has cancer of the throat. Geoffrey Ekanya recently told a CMI operative at Dewinton Road in Kampala that there was no money or anything to make him happy in the FDC. FDC secretary general Alice Alaso has quietly been looking around for a big job abroad-perhaps in the UN agencies.
All these occurrences disturb Besigye. In the end, the FDC leader has come to a conclusion that he should not stand for president for a third time in 2011. Instead he is seriously considering running for the parliamentary seat of Kyadondo East. Besigye has not built a house in his village of Rwakabengo. But he is finishing a mansion in Nangabo to be a proper resident of Kyadondo East so he can succeed Sam Njuba as MP of the area. You remember ageing Njuba had agreed to abdicate his seat for Besigye after the 2006 polls. The two, our intelligence now shows, have agreed that Besigye stands in 2011 for MP of that area. If this is not political death, what is it?Email Article